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The world calls out for bold action
- Subject: The world calls out for bold action
- From: suriya@xxxxxxxxxxxx
- Date: Mon, 26 Oct 1998 01:41:00
October 26, 1998
COMMENT AND TEXT / EAST ASIA ECONOMIC
SUMMIT
The world calls out
for bold action
The following is the complete text of the
Action Plan for Global Growth and
Reform of the World Financial System
agreed to at the 1998 East Asia Economic
Summit of the World Economic Forum
from Oct 12-14 in Singapore.
Participants of the Summit, deeply concerned about the drift of the
world economy and financial markets and the growing risk of global
recession, believe that strong and bold actions must be taken
immediately on the following fronts.
* The United States, Canada and Europe should adopt significant cuts
in interest rates and Japan should further expand its money supply in
order to bolster their own economies and the world economy against
the rising threat of global recession in 1999.
* The summit participants stress that Japan, as Asia's major
high-income economy with a gross national product twice as large as
all of the rest of Asia combined, has a special responsibility to help the
region emerge from its current deep recession.
To do so, Japan must undertake strong and bold measures to
recapitalise its financial sector, using public funds as needed to ensure
a speedy recovery of the banking sector and by adopting a dynamic,
growth-promoting fiscal policy, with an emphasis on expanding
domestic consumption. The participants note with encouragement the
recent positive steps taken in this direction and urge Japan to
implement these measures without further delay.
* Europe, Canada and the United States should be prepared to adopt
more expansionary fiscal politics, especially tax cuts, in the event that
the growth outlook in the respective economies deteriorates still
further in the coming months.
* The advanced economies should immediately expand the provision
of official loans and credit guarantees to the emerging markets in crisis,
especially to cover basic necessities in foodstuffs, energy, and medical
and pharmaceutical supplies.
* The summit participants strongly support the Miyazawa Plan to
provide $30 billion in Japanese assistance to the crisis countries of
East Asia. Japan should be prepared to increase that sum, perhaps
significantly, in the event that the contractionary forces in East Asia
continue to gain momentum.
* Europe, the United States, Canada and Japan should reconfirm their
commitment to open trade in goods and services as the crisis is
leading to significant shifts in trade flows. This commitment is made in
recognition of the need of the emerging market economies in particular
to generate current account surpluses during the period ahead as a
key mechanism to restore their financial balance.
In particular, the advanced countries must commit to abstain from
allowing an arbitrary use of "safeguards" such as anti-dumping
measures or countervailing duties to become protectionist policies in
disguise.
* Governments in the crisis countries of East Asia should commit to
maintaining open markets for goods and services, recognising that they
would be the biggest losers in a worldwide lurch towards
protectionism.
* The crisis economies in Asia should, on their part, accelerate the
recapitalisation of their financial and banking sectors, which have been
rendered insolvent by the current financial turmoil. This recapitalisation
should be accomplished both through the infusion of public funds and
the involvement of new investors, domestic and foreign, in the
ownership and control of domestic banks and financial firms.
* In light of the low inflation and high current account surpluses now
prevailing in Korea and Thailand, participants believe that these
countries should now adopt expansionary monetary and fiscal policies
in order to promote a return to positive growth in 1999.
* The crisis countries in Asia should facilitate the rapid restructuring of
corporate debt in a pragmatic manner that recognises the legitimate
interests of both creditors and debtors.
At the same time, Japan, the United States, Canada and Europe
should facilitate this restructuring by supporting realistic settlements on
the foreign debt owed by Asian corporations to international creditors.
This approach would serve as a positive model for an orderly
workout in other emerging economies facing similar difficulties.
* Governments in the crisis countries of East Asia should review the
prudential limits on short-term capital inflows, including limits on
short-term foreign debt. Participants stress that the unilateral
imposition of restrictions on short-term capital outflows of previously
invested capital would generate very negative longer-term
repercussions.
* Governments in the crisis countries of East Asia should commit
themselves to further openness to foreign direct investment, including
in sectors that were previously restricted to foreign ownership, such as
banking and infrastructure, where such limits still exist. For it is
precisely through the infusion of new capital and technology that these
critical sectors could play their full role for stability and long-term
growth.
Governments in these countries should commit to continuing the effort
towards greater transparency and the strengthening of the institutional
infrastructure to support open markets.
Towards a reform of the world financial system
* Group of Seven (G-7) economies should undertake to establish a
new regulatory regime for the monitoring, disclosure and regulation of
highly leveraged short-term financial flows, as well as
off-balance-sheet commitments and derivative transactions.
* Participants stress the need for a comprehensive reconsideration by
the membership of the IMF and World Bank of the mandate,
structures, functions and resources of these institutions, with the view
of rendering them more accountable and transparent in their own
operations and objectives and supportive of an open world economy,
* The participants endorse proposals for an emergency "Global
Growth Summit" but stress strongly that the emerging market
economies should be represented equally along with the advanced
economies at such a summit. This summit should also be the starting
point for the elaboration of a new world financial architecture.
These measures, taken together, would constitute a critical step
towards a renewal of world worth, which is now the critical condition
to stabilising emerging economies and world markets. They would
also set the basis for the establishment of a new global financial
architecture that responds to the realities of an open global economy,
providing for the needs of both the emerging and advanced
economies.